Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.895620 4.497908 5.162620 5.950728 6.859874 7.876053 9.098588
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.980220 3.740038 4.650262 5.821420 7.289465 9.070464 11.398187
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.321578 3.132128 4.174775 5.615209 7.556132 10.084914 13.637554
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.957774 2.818158 3.997765 5.734754 8.232085 11.700920 16.901179
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.612392 2.460904 3.693180 5.615481 8.546237 12.859936 19.718727
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.459126 2.349569 3.712724 5.954648 9.561586 15.160261 24.556416
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.307519 2.211764 3.664777 6.173654 10.415001 17.328571 29.524198
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.146441 2.029739 3.514176 6.195490 10.941165 19.035701 33.990028
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.959936 1.773088 3.197788 5.881406 10.838330 19.657703 36.668085
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.889410 1.709995 3.205518 6.136629 11.774077 22.213393 43.187286
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.851618 1.700688 3.306994 6.575987 13.109021 25.674355 51.917333
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.782948 1.620671 3.262434 6.724680 13.899516 28.203469 59.194515
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.706575 1.517177 3.164093 6.765930 14.512057 30.532213 66.570343
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.614269 1.366375 2.948437 6.532002 14.519456 31.633944 71.555673
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.531423 1.222831 2.726498 6.249231 14.375544 32.389949 75.902003
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.489644 1.164446 2.680347 6.350168 15.103733 35.162051 85.285596
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.435054 1.067892 2.534474 6.198607 15.224172 36.574860 91.700965
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.419943 1.063233 2.600165 6.560480 16.627768 41.197466 106.701409
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.397865 1.037921 2.612787 6.793746 17.750408 45.309324 121.096414
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.366163 0.983183 2.545074 6.812733 18.330134 48.155396 132.669253
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.319921 0.883168 2.348364 6.464223 17.890344 48.319663 137.067556
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.307540 0.872613 2.382788 6.742964 19.191034 53.274841 155.563934
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.304167 0.886560 2.484737 7.224710 21.133633 60.267802 181.053866